All posts by David Long

  • 28
    Sep 2018

    October Trading Insights from David Long

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    Trade war rhetoric weakened throughout the month, despite the tariffs coming into effect and China refusing to sit down and talk with the US anymore. The markets most sensitive to a trade war (commodities and commodity currencies plus emerging markets) all gained against the greenback this month. Just this week however, we had the FOMC

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  • 31
    Aug 2018

    September Trading Insights from David Long

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    Yet another testing month is behind us. With the US dollar still stuck in the range between 95.20 and 93.40. Commodities fell early on in the month thanks to trade war escalating, but as the war disappeared from headlines the commodity market found a floor. Gold has been sideways for last week or so and

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  • 2
    Aug 2018

    August Trading Insights from David Long

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    Yet another testing month is behind us. With the US dollar still stuck in the range between 95.20 and 93.40. Commodities fell early on in the month thanks to trade war escalating, but as the war disappeared from headlines the commodity market found a floor. Gold has been sideways for last week or so and

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  • 2
    Jul 2018

    July Trading Insights from David Long

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    Trade talks, the on again-off again North Korean summit, Italian politics. That pretty much sums up the month of May. For stocks, the month started sweetly, rallying to make recent highs but then stalling. The rally came off the back of easing tensions between China and the US, then stalling on North Korean summit being

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  • 1
    Jun 2018

    June Trading Insights from David Long

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    Trade talks, the on again-off again North Korean summit, Italian politics. That pretty much sums up the month of May. For stocks, the month started sweetly, rallying to make recent highs but then stalling. The rally came off the back of easing tensions between China and the US, then stalling on North Korean summit being

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  • 1
    May 2018

    May Trading Insights from David Long

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    Volatility continued to dominate the trading scene with barely any trends being set as the market whipsawed from headline to headline. Earlier in the month, trade wars were the theme, then came tensions with Russia and Syria. By mid-month however, Trump was less vocal on both issues and the market began to focus on economic

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  • 27
    Mar 2018

    April Trading Insights from David Long

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    Let me start in a safe area, interest rates. The US Federal Reserve has met this week, and as priced in and widely expected, have raised interest rates by 0.25 basis points to 1.75%. It will bode you well if you remember that when the USA is in a rate hiking environment the US Dollar

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  • 28
    Feb 2018

    February Trading Overview from David Long

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    The month of February has proved to be more interesting than expected. Last letter we wrote, we were focused on currency manipulation and the divergence between the ECB and US Fed. However, the month of Feb started with a bang, literally on the first day of the month. Stocks closed out January 1.8% off its

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  • 29
    Jan 2018

    March Trading Insights from David Long

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    Trump and his administration continue to have a profound effect on the Greenback and US stock market. Ironically, or hypocritically, they recently were called out for manipulating the currency, by none other than Mario Draghi himself. The hypocrisy is from Trump’s campaign platform of naming and shaming countries that manipulate their currency. The US Treasury

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  • 12
    Jan 2018

    Risk Manager David Long shares his expert insight into January’s economic data. Welcome to the new year. Traditionally this time of year is scant of economic data, 2018 is no different. So far there has been little economic releases to focus on. Price action has been driven more by fiscal headlines than monetary ones. Think

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